Ukraine’s Offensive Continues, Russia Shows No Sign of Being Able to Stop It


I have previously posted about the new Ukrainian offensive within Kharkiv Oblast which has liberated hundreds upon miles of territory. This could end the Russian invasion. Russia’s Disaster in Kharkiv: Avalanche of Failure as Ukraine’s Armed Forces Advances Without Opposition

Yesterday’s report was primarily focused on Kupiansk, which is a critical rail and highway junction along the Oskil River. This puts the main railway line linking Russia and Ukraine within the reach of Ukrainian tube artillery.

Some signs are beginning to show that the Ukrainian offensive in Kharkiv Oblast may be slowing down, but this is not the case for the Russian withdrawal.

But, they are still making progress. They might be able to retake Luhansk People’s Republic, which was established by the Russians in 2014.

Ukraine has taken back control of its entire territory north of the Russian border.

Yesterday’s blog post stated that the Russian military wanted to leave Vovchansk. This is the current frontline, according to the interactive map of ISW/Critical threats

The Ukrainians are still at the border crossing point between Pisky (UKR) and Logachevka (RUS), where the rightmost part of the blue-shaded area touches the Russian border. It seems that the Russians don’t care too much about accepting them.

Lyman is available for many other calls. Check out my yesterday report. My opinion is that calls for “contested” are too conservative. However, I see the necessity to correct calls for Ukrainian advances.

Some activity was observed at the Donetsk Front. Two T72 tanks were destroyed by a Ukrainian mechanized unit that attempted to attack Donetsk with a hasty attack without artillery support.

Despite claims by Putin’s mouthpieces, the Kherson offensive is still running a few kilometers each day.

Russians have withdrawn from the sector’s west side in a voluntary move. It is believed that they plan to bring their troops into the support area of artillery on the south bank of the Dnieper River.

It could. It could also indicate that Russia is withdrawing across the Dnieper. All bridges crossing that river have been destroyed, and only pontoon boats can cross it. This means that defensive lines must be reduced. Only pontoon rafts can cross the river.

It’s fascinating to see how the Russians & Ukrainians negotiate Kherson’s evacuation.

This could explain the slowness of the Russian lines being compressed and why the Kherson front seems so passive. The Ukrainians might have decided that allowing 20,000 Russian troops through a “humanitarian corridor” would be more worthwhile than capturing the territory of Ukraine including Kherson City.

There are many important politico-military matters.

If Ukraine moves into Russia’s Potemkin republics, in 2014, the war’s nature will be dramatically altered. This would mean that the Kremlin’s “Special Military Operation” fiction is no more possible.

Russia did not launch any missile or airstrike against the Ukrainian offensive at Kherson. They continue terror attacks against civilian targets far from the battlefield. Russia did not launch a single missile attack or airstrike against the Ukrainian offensive in Kherson. It also covers other cities within 30 miles of the self-propelled 2S7 “Pion” self-propelled guns. This is not covered by any agreements with Western countries.

After the success of the offensive, it is less likely that Ukraine would want to negotiate. This made things more difficult for President Zelensky (Ukraine President Zelensky Ends Russia’s Aggression in Ukraine. Vladimir Putin Isn’t Laughing).

Ukraine’s success in waging an offensive campaign makes it more likely that modern tanks and aircraft will soon become available.

The week ahead promises excitement as well as the one that came before.