I have previously posted about the new Ukrainian offensive within Kharkiv Oblast which has liberated hundreds upon miles of territory. This could end the Russian invasion. Russia’s Disaster in Kharkiv: Avalanche of Failure as Ukraine’s Armed Forces Advances Without Opposition
Yesterday’s report was primarily focused on Kupiansk, which is a critical rail and highway junction along the Oskil River. This puts the main railway line linking Russia and Ukraine within the reach of Ukrainian tube artillery.
Some signs are beginning to show that the Ukrainian offensive in Kharkiv Oblast may be slowing down, but this is not the case for the Russian withdrawal.
Russian Army currently experiencing in Ukraine its “2015 Idlib moment”, when SAA was routed in Idlib & lost entire province.
Russia then launched its military intervention in Syria to prevent Assad’s collapse.
Watch until the end👇 pic.twitter.com/xswdMqZa9V
— QalaatM (@QalaatM) September 10, 2022
Luhansk Region Surroundings of Starobilsk. The Russians are fleeing towards Luhansk.#RussianArmy pic.twitter.com/wp8IKwTBIL
— NO WAR! (@Milan8662) September 11, 2022
Huge Russian column fleeing near Oskol River, Kharkiv Oblast after a major successful Ukrainian counteroffensive. pic.twitter.com/2QbSVMuwS9
— CaucasusWarReport (@Caucasuswar) September 11, 2022
Video of combat between Ukrainian and Russian soldiers.
The Ukrainian soldier filming says “oh how many of them have I killed today”. pic.twitter.com/oskqaTou5o
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) September 11, 2022
But, they are still making progress. They might be able to retake Luhansk People’s Republic, which was established by the Russians in 2014.
🇷🇺 forces are fleeing Svatove
– General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports. pic.twitter.com/U25mP26f2V
— NOËL (@Noel_dotsol) September 11, 2022
Ukraine being able to bounce the recapture of occupied Northern Luhansk from the march is looking more likely.🤔 https://t.co/IDwhXPNctl
— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) September 11, 2022
Ukraine has taken back control of its entire territory north of the Russian border.
Yesterday’s blog post stated that the Russian military wanted to leave Vovchansk. This is the current frontline, according to the interactive map of ISW/Critical threats
The Kharkiv front. Ukraine has reestablished control of most of its territory on the border with Russia. Via @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar https://t.co/5pKWZaUiVK pic.twitter.com/sLGDGlQMcC
— streiff (@streiffredstate) September 11, 2022
The Ukrainians are still at the border crossing point between Pisky (UKR) and Logachevka (RUS), where the rightmost part of the blue-shaded area touches the Russian border. It seems that the Russians don’t care too much about accepting them.
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Queues at the Logachevka checkpoint from those wishing to leave the Kharkov region for Russia. pic.twitter.com/A7rdyR9cPM
— marina alikantes (@Marianna9110) September 10, 2022
Russian volunteers are reporting a queue of around 500 cars formed on the way from Kupiansk to the Belgorod Region. A line of refugees formed on the way to the checkpoint in Logachevka.
“There are over 400-500 cars in the queue and around 200 people on foot.” pic.twitter.com/hGjBPocDMP
— JAMnews (@JAMnewsCaucasus) September 10, 2022
Video at the broder town of Logachevka with pro-RU civilians/refugees setting up camps with what looks like 🇷🇺 EMERCOM assitance. https://t.co/oREg0xseoO
— Evergreen Intel (@vcdgf555) September 11, 2022
Lyman is available for many other calls. Check out my yesterday report. My opinion is that calls for “contested” are too conservative. However, I see the necessity to correct calls for Ukrainian advances.
Some activity was observed at the Donetsk Front. Two T72 tanks were destroyed by a Ukrainian mechanized unit that attempted to attack Donetsk with a hasty attack without artillery support.
Ukraine lost 2 tanks in an attack on Pisky.
It’s all here on video, tanks, infantry and Russian artillery strikes.
If drones with cameras would have been around during WW2, this is what they would have recorded. pic.twitter.com/LGub2iPO3b
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) September 11, 2022
Despite claims by Putin’s mouthpieces, the Kherson offensive is still running a few kilometers each day.
Zelensky’s counterattack on Kherson and Nikolaev has been a complete disaster. Total defeat for the Ukrainian side.
— Ian Miles Cheong (@stillgray) August 29, 2022
Russians have withdrawn from the sector’s west side in a voluntary move. It is believed that they plan to bring their troops into the support area of artillery on the south bank of the Dnieper River.
In Kherson region Russian army withdraw from some positions, – General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukrainehttps://t.co/DYCKqvQvHk pic.twitter.com/AlpghVsJbs
— Liveuamap (@Liveuamap) September 11, 2022
It could. It could also indicate that Russia is withdrawing across the Dnieper. All bridges crossing that river have been destroyed, and only pontoon boats can cross it. This means that defensive lines must be reduced. Only pontoon rafts can cross the river.
It’s fascinating to see how the Russians & Ukrainians negotiate Kherson’s evacuation.
“According to our information, from the evening of September 9, the command of the Russian Armed Forces grouping in the Kherson region began to negotiate with the command ‘South’ of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on leaving the occupied…” — 😼👇https://t.co/wfKZbCaE9t
— Garuda 🇪🇺🇨🇵🇺🇦 (@Simorgh_Blue) September 11, 2022
This could explain the slowness of the Russian lines being compressed and why the Kherson front seems so passive. The Ukrainians might have decided that allowing 20,000 Russian troops through a “humanitarian corridor” would be more worthwhile than capturing the territory of Ukraine including Kherson City.
There are many important politico-military matters.
If Ukraine moves into Russia’s Potemkin republics, in 2014, the war’s nature will be dramatically altered. This would mean that the Kremlin’s “Special Military Operation” fiction is no more possible.
Russia did not launch any missile or airstrike against the Ukrainian offensive at Kherson. They continue terror attacks against civilian targets far from the battlefield. Russia did not launch a single missile attack or airstrike against the Ukrainian offensive in Kherson. It also covers other cities within 30 miles of the self-propelled 2S7 “Pion” self-propelled guns. This is not covered by any agreements with Western countries.
After the success of the offensive, it is less likely that Ukraine would want to negotiate. This made things more difficult for President Zelensky (Ukraine President Zelensky Ends Russia’s Aggression in Ukraine. Vladimir Putin Isn’t Laughing).
Zelensky to Russia, tonight… pic.twitter.com/6Hgot3zKhY
— Christo Grozev (@christogrozev) September 11, 2022
Ukraine’s success in waging an offensive campaign makes it more likely that modern tanks and aircraft will soon become available.
The U.S. is now thinking about supplying Ukraine with Western tanks and IFVs.
This would be a crucial step that would strongly contribute to Ukraine winning the war.
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) September 12, 2022
The week ahead promises excitement as well as the one that came before.